Dubai's Real Estate Market Forecasted to Hit New Highs in 2024

  • Dubai's residential property market is set to see record-breaking home prices in 2024.

  • Villa segment expected to witness significant capital gains.

  • Villa prices have doubled since the pandemic, with valuations surpassing AED 2,000 per square foot.

  • April's VPI for Dubai shows a 31.2% year-on-year increase in villa capital gains.

  • High-net-worth individuals moving to Dubai drive demand for luxury properties.

  • Low interest rates continue to encourage real estate investment.

  • April's VPI reached 170.8 points, a 26.1% annual increase.

  • Apartment prices rose 21.3% annually, with notable gains in Discovery Gardens, The Greens, and Palm Jumeirah.

  • Off-plan Oqood registrations increased by 76.4% annually.

  • Ready home transactions rose 9.5% annually, with 27 transactions over AED 30 million in prime locations.

Dubai's real estate market is poised for remarkable growth in 2024, with analysts forecasting record-breaking home prices, particularly in the villa segment. According to ValuStrat’s April Price Index (VPI) for Dubai, villa prices have doubled since the pandemic, surpassing previous market peaks and even the highs of 2014. The average valuation per square foot for villas now exceeds AED 2,000 for the first time in a decade.

The April VPI data shows a significant 31.2% year-on-year increase in villa capital gains, bolstered by a 2.4% rise from the previous month. Although this year's gains might not surpass the 34.1% increase seen in 2022, they are expected to remain robust, exceeding last year's figures.

Several factors contribute to the strong performance of Dubai's real estate market. The influx of high-net-worth individuals, supported by favorable government initiatives and a burgeoning business environment, has led to a heightened demand for luxury properties. Additionally, continued low interest rates make borrowing costs favorable, encouraging more investors to enter the market.

In April, the VPI reached 170.8 points, marking a 26.1% annual increase, with villas reaching 216 points and apartments at 141.4 points, compared to the baseline of 100 points set in January 2021. Apartment prices also showed strong growth, rising by 1.6% monthly and achieving a record annual growth of 21.3%. Areas such as Discovery Gardens, The Greens, and Palm Jumeirah saw the highest apartment capital gains compared to the previous year.

Villa capital gains continued to impress, with Palm Jumeirah, Jumeirah Islands, and Dubai Hills Estate among the top performers. Off-plan Oqood registrations saw a significant annual increase of 76.4%, despite a monthly decline of 9.4%. Ready home transactions increased by 9.5% annually, although they experienced a 24.2% drop since March. Notably, there were 27 transactions for ready properties priced over AED 30 million, primarily in prime locations like Palm Jumeirah, Arabian Ranches, and Emirates Hills.

Dubai's thriving property market aligns with the emirate’s economic objectives to strengthen its status as a global business and tourism hub. A successful real estate sector is crucial for attracting foreign investment and skilled professionals. As Dubai continues to advance, the focus remains on the residential property market, with experts predicting sustained growth through 2024.

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For more information, contact Steven Leckie, your guide to luxury real estate in Dubai since 2003.